The polls in New Hampshire don't have a clear route for pundits to make a take. If form holds, Romney wins with 40% or so, Ron Paul scores about 20% in second and Santorum, Huntsmann and Gingrich fight for the left-overs with about 10% each.
What are passing scores? For Huntsmann, I'd suggest 15%. If he can't get 15% in a state he's camped out in, he has little room to go forward.
Santorum and Gingrich are both in no-lose situations, except if they wind up dropping below 10%. 15% for Santorum would be a moral victory and sliding past Paul for second would be a triple in the right-center gap.
Comments